Empusa
0xd9703601452fc0350691afc070a1b5850643932a
- Realised P&L
- $5.6k
- Volume
- $146.9k
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $150.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.042Will London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?
- +$493.94at 0.339Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?
- +$467.83at 0.090Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?
- +$437.18at 0.172Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?
- +$408.50at 0.115Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.44 | $63.80 |
| 09-17 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.026 | $11.26 |
| 09-17 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.24 |
| 09-16 13:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.1040133779 | $4.66 |
| 09-14 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.04 | $11.73 |
| 09-11 13:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.0996740348 | $16.91 |
| 09-11 11:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.2245777682 | $41.70 |
| 09-11 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 09-09 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $278.60 |
| 09-02 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on September 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 09-02 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.15 |
| 09-02 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.03 | $13.22 |
| 09-02 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.0360062 | $18.00 |
| 09-02 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.10 |
| 09-02 07:39 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.0076165266 | $7.97 |