0xd96fac18a0adece08287557c6fd73b180fe1c4db
0xd96fac18a0adece08287557c6fd73b180fe1c4db
- Realised P&L
- $-1.17
- Volume
- $244.79
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $9.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.605 | $3.02 | +$1.02 |
| Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · No | 0.680 | 0.745 | $2.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.775 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.225 | $1.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.125 | $0.45 | −$1.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$4.38at 0.321Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
- +$4.20at 0.329Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
- +$3.49at 0.371Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$3.49at 0.371Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 07:45 | Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 07:45 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 23:45 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? | BUY | 0.4599999725 | $1.67 |
| 09-23 15:45 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 07:43 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699998807 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 23:42 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $187 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399998457 | $1.26 |
| 09-22 14:35 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 14:55 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 06:39 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 18:28 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 10:27 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 02:27 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 03:43 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 11:34 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.46 |
| 09-02 05:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |