cedarviolet
0xd9635d74f7cc4baed3b02931f6967b9dda61d640
- Realised P&L
- $-8.0k
- Volume
- $778.2k
- Markets traded
- 6,958
- Open portfolio
- $781.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,958
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$437.63at 0.246Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$424.35at 0.271Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$420.66at 0.174Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
- +$411.84at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
- +$379.27at 0.281Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:51 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 09-18 01:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 09-18 01:09 | Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 09-18 00:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-18 00:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-18 00:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 09-18 00:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 09-18 00:23 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 09-18 00:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 09-18 00:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 09-18 00:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-18 00:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-18 00:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 09-18 00:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 09-18 00:15 | Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |