hardyhannah
0xd960880c7ec4e419a3620abead5477d309efa20e
- Realised P&L
- $99.08
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $39.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.805 | $24.42 | +$4.70 |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.700 | $7.81 | −$0.22 |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Spain | 0.500 | 0.545 | $7.14 | +$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.43at 0.330Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
- +$3.78at 0.690Jingshan: Completed Match: Alexandra Shubladze vs Rina Saigo
- +$1.21at 0.900Will no Atlantic hurricane form in August 2026?
- +$0.46at 0.977Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
- +$0.42at 0.600Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 23:41 | Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.7199999857 | $8.03 |
| 01-31 14:09 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.998999999 | $4.99 |
| 01-31 13:45 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999813 | $11.77 |
| 01-30 14:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9979999951 | $6.48 |
| 01-30 12:08 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.87 |
| 01-30 12:00 | Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.67 |
| 12-30 14:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989998611 | $3.51 |
| 12-30 13:30 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.16 |
| 12-30 01:58 | Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.14 |
| 12-29 23:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9959999281 | $9.42 |
| 12-29 21:28 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.86 |
| 10-31 00:14 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.30 |
| 10-30 23:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.59 |
| 10-30 20:38 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.90 |
| 10-08 03:02 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $11.42 |