PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hardyhannah

0xd960880c7ec4e419a3620abead5477d309efa20e

Realised P&L
$99.08
Volume
$12.3k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$39.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration95.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.6500.805$24.42+$4.70
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? · Yes0.7200.700$7.81−$0.22
Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Spain0.5000.545$7.14+$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 23:41Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?BUY0.7199999857$8.03
01-31 14:09Will BNB dip to $700 in January?BUY0.998999999$4.99
01-31 13:45Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?BUY0.9989999813$11.77
01-30 14:17Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?BUY0.9979999951$6.48
01-30 12:08Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.999$12.87
01-30 12:00Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January?BUY0.998$28.67
12-30 14:18Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9989998611$3.51
12-30 13:30Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?BUY0.999$15.16
12-30 01:58Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025?BUY0.998$14.14
12-29 23:07Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9959999281$9.42
12-29 21:28Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025?BUY0.999$20.86
10-31 00:14Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.997$19.30
10-30 23:08Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?BUY0.999$17.59
10-30 20:38Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?BUY0.999$10.90
10-08 03:02Dogecoin all time high before 2026?SELL0.82$11.42