nspn
0xd95d67e89495cfeb3bae41f825d06a5e072a1c8a
- Realised P&L
- $-269.01
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $34.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.305 | $22.27 | −$7.67 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.295 | $6.69 | −$2.84 |
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.104 | $3.13 | −$2.27 |
| Will StepFun be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.021 | $0.94 | −$1.84 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.285 | $0.53 | +$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.090 | $0.45 | −$1.20 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia? · No | 0.015 | 0.010 | $0.20 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.00at 0.140Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?
- +$9.82at 0.520Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 21?
- +$5.85at 0.350Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 21?
- +$5.66at 0.420Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
- +$3.05at 0.430Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 22?