PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gao

0xd95d2bc0f13fc1f40607ac752108634cc305c71b

Realised P&L
$-92.22
Volume
$28.9k
Markets traded
589
Open portfolio
$95.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded589
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October? · No0.9930.993$79.40−$0.04
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.5200.770$2.96+$0.96
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.8500.990$2.33+$0.33
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? · Yes0.7620.845$2.22+$0.22
Trump meets with Putin by October 31? · No0.9860.990$2.01+$0.01
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7290.495$1.36−$0.64
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.1500.155$1.03+$0.03
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8610.861$1.00+$0.00
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.8100.810$1.00+$0.00
Trump meets with Putin by November 30? · Yes0.7600.755$0.99−$0.01
Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.9600.951$0.99−$0.01
Ethereum Up or Down on April 29? · Up0.7300.000$0.00−$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down on February 2? · Down0.7900.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down on April 10? · Down0.8020.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down on November 5? · Down0.8200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 03:55Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8609993964$1.00
10-14 03:54Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?BUY0.993$79.44
10-14 03:53Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?SELL0.998$79.84
10-12 09:21Trump meets with Putin by December 31?BUY0.8099999352$1.00
10-12 09:21Trump meets with Putin by November 30?BUY0.759999696$1.00
10-12 09:21Trump meets with Putin by October 31?BUY0.985999999$2.00
10-12 09:20Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?BUY0.999$79.92
10-12 09:18Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.963$1.00
10-12 09:18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?SELL0.994$79.52
10-09 04:38Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 9?BUY0.997$2.00
10-09 04:38Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.999$2.00
10-09 04:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?BUY0.996$79.68
10-09 04:35Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.974$1.95
10-09 04:29Will Solana dip to $30 in October?SELL0.998$79.84
10-07 05:00Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.9629996283$1.00