gao
0xd95d2bc0f13fc1f40607ac752108634cc305c71b
- Realised P&L
- $-92.22
- Volume
- $28.9k
- Markets traded
- 589
- Open portfolio
- $95.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded589
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.73at 0.970Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
- +$2.61at 0.995Linea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$1.64at 0.972Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?
- +$1.17at 0.460Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?
- +$1.08at 0.650Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 03:55 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8609993964 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 03:54 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October? | BUY | 0.993 | $79.44 |
| 10-14 03:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? | SELL | 0.998 | $79.84 |
| 10-12 09:21 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 09:21 | Trump meets with Putin by November 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 09:21 | Trump meets with Putin by October 31? | BUY | 0.985999999 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 09:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.92 |
| 10-12 09:18 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.963 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 09:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? | SELL | 0.994 | $79.52 |
| 10-09 04:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 04:38 | Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 04:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? | BUY | 0.996 | $79.68 |
| 10-09 04:35 | Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $1.95 |
| 10-09 04:29 | Will Solana dip to $30 in October? | SELL | 0.998 | $79.84 |
| 10-07 05:00 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.9629996283 | $1.00 |