softBeta
0xd94a8768f3c4937c9b5ec8eb3784bf0ed1d2ea96
- Realised P&L
- $-334.57
- Volume
- $34.8k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $39.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers vs. Magic · Cavaliers | 0.540 | 0.535 | $19.81 | −$0.19 |
| Knicks vs. Raptors · Knicks | 0.230 | 0.235 | $10.22 | +$0.22 |
| Pacers vs. Thunder · Pacers | 0.280 | 0.275 | $9.82 | −$0.18 |
| Nets vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Côte d'Ivoire to score first vs. Norway? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) · England | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt? · Yes | 0.398 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.425 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$308.31at 0.343Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$269.19at 0.103Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?
- +$229.45at 0.082Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina?
- +$143.62at 0.362Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$119.28at 0.205Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 18:35 | Cavaliers vs. Magic | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 18:35 | Knicks vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 18:34 | Pacers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 23:57 | Timberwolves vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $20.00 |
| 10-12 23:40 | Timberwolves vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.5199999972 | $30.00 |
| 10-12 23:20 | Thunder vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.3409999907 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 23:18 | Nets vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 10:27 | Mavericks vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $50.00 |
| 07-26 13:34 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.5299999972 | $30.00 |
| 07-26 07:43 | LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4199999944 | $30.00 |
| 07-26 07:28 | LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.1 | $6.25 |
| 07-26 07:00 | LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.48 | $30.00 |
| 07-25 14:13 | LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 12:26 | LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6099999949 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 14:16 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5899999952 | $42.16 |