L.Acosta
0xd941d623f2e64040f9f7350cb1e1a45df9b2f940
- Realised P&L
- $8.7k
- Volume
- $21.5k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $15.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar40.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.836 | 0.835 | $14.0k | −$22.36 |
| Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? · Yes | 0.943 | 0.962 | $977.75 | +$18.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.2kat 0.431Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$528.74at 0.491Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:19 | Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? | BUY | 0.9431870639 | $959.13 |
| 10-30 21:47 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.84 | $9.0k |
| 10-27 05:04 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.8298257366 | $5.0k |
| 10-04 19:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3699999954 | $12.06 |
| 10-03 00:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4309999924 | $17.15 |
| 10-03 00:23 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.44 | $3.7k |
| 10-02 01:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.9k |
| 10-01 13:18 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3799999999 | $466.66 |
| 09-12 02:02 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4849999991 | $241.80 |
| 09-12 01:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4809999994 | $240.69 |