0xd9362c995edea1d9cbf08d453ea8e7e258aadf7b
0xd9362c995edea1d9cbf08d453ea8e7e258aadf7b
- Realised P&L
- $-16.31
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 248
- Open portfolio
- $23.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded248
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.40at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 5?
- +$10.95at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 3?
- +$8.43at 0.157Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?
- +$7.94at 0.474Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or below on August 31?
- +$7.77at 0.033Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.75 |
| 09-27 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on September 27? | SELL | 0.071 | $0.07 |
| 09-27 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on September 27? | SELL | 0.071 | $0.07 |
| 09-27 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on September 27? | SELL | 0.096 | $0.75 |
| 09-27 00:41 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 09-25 20:51 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 09-25 20:50 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.97 |
| 09-25 20:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.02 |
| 09-25 10:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.54 |
| 09-24 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 09-24 10:42 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.88 |
| 09-23 21:19 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.80 |
| 09-23 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 09-23 14:28 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.60 |