0xD934049d1369190c9307FfF692211cd323cD60A0-1723092059589
0xd934049d1369190c9307fff692211cd323cd60a0
- Realised P&L
- $-5.7k
- Volume
- $4.58M
- Markets traded
- 9,375
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,375
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$138.01at 0.971Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on December 3?
- +$121.78at 0.950Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on November 19?
- +$93.50at 0.918Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 13?
- +$75.63at 0.940Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on December 28?
- +$73.44at 0.914Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on November 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.997999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.997999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 20:45 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.9899999865 | $58.62 |
| 08-04 20:40 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.996 | $250.00 |
| 08-04 20:33 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $12.43 |
| 08-04 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.997 | $250.00 |
| 08-04 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C or below on August 6? | BUY | 0.997 | $250.00 |
| 08-04 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.997 | $250.00 |
| 08-04 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.996 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 18:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 18:51 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 18:51 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 18:45 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $100.00 |