PolyBot

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Traders

yy691884459

0xd93111781b3dd7b9a5127fbb5e81fd0fc417d7e2

Realised P&L
$-33.70
Volume
$16.4k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$46.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 12:22Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?BUY0.6799999932$20.00
10-05 11:59Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.9703588975$16.20
10-04 15:57Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?BUY0.7528404765$20.00
10-04 15:53Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.5989999935$10.00
09-22 06:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETBUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-22 05:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSELL0.88$1.31
09-22 05:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.6699996918$1.00
07-14 01:52Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?SELL0.999$40.63
07-09 08:33Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?BUY0.5499999926$22.37
07-09 06:26Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETBUY0.1$1.00
07-09 06:24Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
07-02 05:34Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$14.20
03-20 02:35Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?BUY0.6954825595$70.00
03-20 02:34Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?BUY0.2178183143$80.00
03-17 14:47Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?BUY0.6099999939$24.97