yy691884459
0xd93111781b3dd7b9a5127fbb5e81fd0fc417d7e2
- Realised P&L
- $-33.70
- Volume
- $16.4k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $46.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.13at 0.560Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
- +$35.95at 0.520Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
- +$29.91at 0.580Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
- +$18.00at 0.567Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
- +$17.76at 0.562Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 12:22 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 11:59 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.9703588975 | $16.20 |
| 10-04 15:57 | Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.7528404765 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 15:53 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.5989999935 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 06:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | SELL | 0.88 | $1.31 |
| 09-22 05:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 01:52 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $40.63 |
| 07-09 08:33 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? | BUY | 0.5499999926 | $22.37 |
| 07-09 06:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 06:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 05:34 | Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $14.20 |
| 03-20 02:35 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6954825595 | $70.00 |
| 03-20 02:34 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2178183143 | $80.00 |
| 03-17 14:47 | Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22? | BUY | 0.6099999939 | $24.97 |