PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xd92e285898027048c04df8b5798cc5db4f8905a4

Realised P&L
$-1.93
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$50.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.9770.974$19.95$0.06
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? · Yes0.0660.050$14.17$4.70
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9430.980$10.39+$0.39
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8900.970$5.45+$0.45
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · No0.3700.139$0.47$0.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 10:04Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?BUY0.0659266286$18.87
08-11 10:02Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.9769999731$20.01
07-01 10:53Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1?BUY0.6299999767$9.47
06-11 07:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11?BUY0.0139999986$9.56
05-02 10:22Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1109999945$17.55
04-06 21:31Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.8725456185$15.72
04-06 21:21Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?BUY0.369999859$1.26
03-25 11:12Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?BUY0.962999999$9.95
03-01 12:26Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?BUY0.8393401012$14.00
03-01 12:21Will the US strike Somalia next?SELL0.9579642857$9.92
03-01 12:20Will the US strike Somalia next?BUY0.9643567736$10.00
02-07 08:58GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY0.9769999993$10.00
02-07 08:50Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?BUY0.9429999968$10.00
02-07 08:47Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?BUY0.7599999878$10.00
02-07 08:47Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?BUY0.4399999894$10.00