0xd92e285898027048c04df8b5798cc5db4f8905a4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.93
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $50.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No | 0.977 | 0.974 | $19.95 | −$0.06 |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.050 | $14.17 | −$4.70 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No | 0.943 | 0.980 | $10.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.890 | 0.970 | $5.45 | +$0.45 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · No | 0.370 | 0.139 | $0.47 | −$0.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.27at 0.397Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
- +$5.27at 0.649Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1?
- +$4.71at 0.340Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
- +$3.16at 0.760Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
- +$2.78at 0.590Solana Up or Down - February 1, 4AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 10:04 | Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? | BUY | 0.0659266286 | $18.87 |
| 08-11 10:02 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.9769999731 | $20.01 |
| 07-01 10:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1? | BUY | 0.6299999767 | $9.47 |
| 06-11 07:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? | BUY | 0.0139999986 | $9.56 |
| 05-02 10:22 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1109999945 | $17.55 |
| 04-06 21:31 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.8725456185 | $15.72 |
| 04-06 21:21 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.369999859 | $1.26 |
| 03-25 11:12 | Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31? | BUY | 0.962999999 | $9.95 |
| 03-01 12:26 | Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars? | BUY | 0.8393401012 | $14.00 |
| 03-01 12:21 | Will the US strike Somalia next? | SELL | 0.9579642857 | $9.92 |
| 03-01 12:20 | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BUY | 0.9643567736 | $10.00 |
| 02-07 08:58 | GTA VI released before June 2026? | BUY | 0.9769999993 | $10.00 |
| 02-07 08:50 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.9429999968 | $10.00 |
| 02-07 08:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | BUY | 0.7599999878 | $10.00 |
| 02-07 08:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |