0xd91e20afc70cd7b5a7e28766a9ab1313585ab3d2
0xd91e20afc70cd7b5a7e28766a9ab1313585ab3d2
- Realised P&L
- $-137.23
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $844.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$126.45at 0.187Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
- +$41.26at 0.082Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?
- +$40.93at 0.260Will Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
- +$31.45at 0.353CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Both Teams to Score
- +$21.96at 0.253US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 09:53 | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? | BUY | 0.8499999558 | $11.55 |
| 10-15 09:48 | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599995825 | $1.03 |
| 10-15 09:48 | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? | BUY | 0.8561217485 | $30.00 |
| 10-15 03:48 | Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.15 |
| 10-15 03:48 | Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999888 | $1.57 |
| 10-15 02:01 | Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499995913 | $1.04 |
| 10-14 23:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8339999843 | $24.81 |
| 10-14 23:54 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8339997414 | $1.58 |
| 10-14 23:16 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.4547213221 | $28.07 |
| 10-14 22:21 | Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999435 | $1.19 |
| 10-14 22:21 | Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999801 | $4.59 |
| 10-14 19:02 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $30.00 |
| 10-14 18:44 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7799999433 | $2.75 |
| 10-14 18:44 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7799999795 | $2.28 |
| 10-14 18:40 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7299999942 | $30.00 |