PolyBot

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Traders

0xd91e20afc70cd7b5a7e28766a9ab1313585ab3d2

0xd91e20afc70cd7b5a7e28766a9ab1313585ab3d2

Realised P&L
$-137.23
Volume
$18.6k
Markets traded
135
Open portfolio
$844.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded135
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? · Yes0.1400.295$105.36+$55.36
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · No0.8570.830$76.72−$2.47
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.7380.770$67.83+$2.80
Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? · No0.7600.845$55.59+$5.59
Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election? · No0.8700.895$51.41+$1.41
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9100.905$49.72−$0.27
Will Marine Le Pen win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9600.949$49.42−$0.58
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $157.5B by October 31? · No0.9960.972$48.78−$1.22
Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by October 31, 2026? · No0.8860.880$41.93−$0.31
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? · No0.8550.795$39.61−$2.97
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? · Yes0.2170.255$34.12+$5.07
Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government? · Yes0.5100.525$30.88+$0.88
Will OpenAI’s valuation be less than $600B at the end of November 2026? · No0.9880.950$28.83−$1.17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8340.828$26.18−$0.21
Valantis FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.7600.685$23.04−$2.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 09:53Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?BUY0.8499999558$11.55
10-15 09:48Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?BUY0.8599995825$1.03
10-15 09:48Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?BUY0.8561217485$30.00
10-15 03:48Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?SELL0.22$0.15
10-15 03:48Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?BUY0.2199999888$1.57
10-15 02:01Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8499995913$1.04
10-14 23:58Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8339999843$24.81
10-14 23:54Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8339997414$1.58
10-14 23:16Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.4547213221$28.07
10-14 22:21Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8399999435$1.19
10-14 22:21Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8299999801$4.59
10-14 19:02Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.739999997$30.00
10-14 18:44Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.7799999433$2.75
10-14 18:44Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.7799999795$2.28
10-14 18:40Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.7299999942$30.00