Mirabella180
0xd916ebc0f29ed183611c02dc2da72fc063035940
- Realised P&L
- $-73.76
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $11.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauricio Lara vs. Carlos Ornelas · Carlos Ornelas | 0.500 | 0.480 | $11.57 | −$0.48 |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever · Indiana Fever | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.10 |
| KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes · Kiwoom Heroes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.45 |
| Uni-President Lions vs. Chinatrust Brothers · Chinatrust Brothers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.90 |
| Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream · Washington Mystics | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.30 |
| Gran Canaria vs. Basquet Girona · Basquet Girona | 0.526 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.68 |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky · Chicago Sky | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.25 |
| Nagasaki Velca vs. Chiba Jets · Chiba Jets | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.25 |
| Mytsyk Oleksandr vs. Ovsiienko Oleksandr · Mytsyk Oleksandr | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.40 |
| Cape Verde vs. Cameroon · Cape Verde | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions · SSG Landers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.35 |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 21, 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.75 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.24 |
| WTT - Men's Singles: Anders Lind vs Hiroto Shinozuka · Lind | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.70 |
| PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics · PortlandFire | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.00at 0.500Timberwolves vs. Clippers
- +$16.69at 0.526Valencia vs. Panathinaikos
- +$12.80at 0.500NL: Davos vs. ZSC Lions
- +$12.21at 0.507World Championships: Canada vs. Norway
- +$11.38at 0.507KBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bears
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 02:27 | Metro Bank One Day Cup Women League 2: Derbyshire Women vs Northamptonshire Women | BUY | 0.5 | $3.90 |
| 09-02 07:51 | Mytsyk Oleksandr vs. Ovsiienko Oleksandr | BUY | 0.5 | $12.40 |
| 08-29 02:24 | Mauricio Lara vs. Carlos Ornelas | BUY | 0.5 | $12.05 |
| 08-25 02:36 | Fubon Guardians vs. TSG Hawks | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 05:26 | Uni-President Lions vs. Chinatrust Brothers | BUY | 0.5 | $6.90 |
| 08-18 01:42 | Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Galloway/King vs Darderi/Etcheverry | BUY | 0.5 | $10.70 |
| 08-13 02:55 | Hucko Tomas vs. Kolman Leon | BUY | 0.5 | $11.00 |
| 08-11 02:44 | Kurtenko Viktoriia vs. Harmash Nadiia | BUY | 0.5 | $6.60 |
| 08-09 04:55 | KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears | BUY | 0.5 | $6.10 |
| 07-07 02:43 | Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks | BUY | 0.5 | $12.35 |
| 07-06 03:08 | KBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bears | BUY | 0.5 | $11.55 |
| 07-01 02:46 | Cape Verde vs. Cameroon | BUY | 0.5 | $6.00 |
| 06-29 03:06 | Lithuania vs. Great Britain | BUY | 0.5 | $12.05 |
| 06-26 03:23 | Iran vs. Syria | BUY | 0.5 | $11.50 |
| 06-24 04:52 | PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics | BUY | 0.5 | $11.70 |