AlexPovtar4
0xd9167ef12aab60ce53196d2660c1d88e590587a0
- Realised P&L
- $-252.54
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $534.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.725 | $152.25 | −$36.75 |
| Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.555 | $111.83 | −$21.16 |
| Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.375 | $88.61 | −$13.00 |
| Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.710 | 0.435 | $86.43 | −$54.64 |
| Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.690 | 0.445 | $48.81 | −$26.87 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.230 | $48.30 | −$69.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.02at 0.160US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$23.50at 0.390US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$14.66at 0.420US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.10at 0.580Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?
- +$2.10at 0.150Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 04:16 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $123.90 |
| 06-12 04:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $130.20 |
| 06-12 02:32 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $102.90 |
| 06-12 00:40 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 06-12 00:08 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.149 | $0.74 |
| 06-11 23:54 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.145 | $0.72 |
| 06-11 23:26 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.139 | $0.70 |
| 06-11 22:58 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.892 | $4.46 |
| 06-11 22:54 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 06-11 22:05 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 06-11 21:10 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.882 | $4.41 |
| 06-11 21:10 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.883 | $4.42 |
| 06-11 21:09 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 06-11 21:07 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.127652 | $0.64 |
| 06-11 21:06 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |