0xd915d41135a80d4a979bc22666eb02fd5b83c5ee
0xd915d41135a80d4a979bc22666eb02fd5b83c5ee
- Realised P&L
- $7.23
- Volume
- $116.67
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $5.55
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.971 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $187.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.585 | $0.97 | −$0.02 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.505 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.315 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.195 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.135 | $0.36 | −$0.64 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.017 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.349Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:58 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:58 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $187.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:55 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:53 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:53 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:12 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:11 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:36 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 11:44 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 17? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 00:08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:02 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 08:01 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:59 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:08 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:07 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |