PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tkenmn

0xd914d88676771d525f933306390567cdec100d9a

Realised P&L
$-31.0k
Volume
$2.21M
Markets traded
151
Open portfolio
$165.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded151
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0390.028$165.32−$69.05
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1950.000$0.00−$15.6k
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? · No0.3230.000$0.00−$7.5k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.0560.000$0.00−$444.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.3350.000$0.00−$335.00
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery · Flavio Cobolli0.7200.000$0.00−$100.00
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$15.00
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$7.19
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card) · Manuel Torres0.5000.000$0.00−$0.89
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · No0.9030.000$0.00−$14.1k
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$19.93
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4150.000$0.00−$12.0k
Spread: France (-1.5) · France0.0530.000$0.00−$300.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$1.4k
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$143.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 08:21Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?SELL0.3912298805$1.8k
08-25 08:23Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?BUY0.011$9.40
08-23 18:41Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?BUY0.347$347.00
08-23 18:40Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?BUY0.345$48.04
08-22 18:20Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?BUY0.015$10.52
08-21 17:49Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?BUY0.3713362637$337.92
08-21 17:48Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.1960073946$265.07
08-21 17:48Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.198$6.34
08-21 17:46Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.196$205.41
08-21 17:36Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.21$3.15
08-21 17:31Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?BUY0.389$190.61
08-21 17:26Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.2068381276$500.00
07-22 05:47Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?BUY0.001$12.85
07-19 21:18Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.56$329.49
07-19 21:05Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.6247811994$385.49