0xd912f93673077812d5cbc729976f131fddb1623e
0xd912f93673077812d5cbc729976f131fddb1623e
- Realised P&L
- $-10.86
- Volume
- $161.07
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $4.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.963 | $1.50 | +$0.50 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.967 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.710 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.315 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.63at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.42at 0.480Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$1.98at 0.530WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 02:36 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:52 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:52 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:51 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:07 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:15 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:24 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:10 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:58 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:57 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 21:08 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 04:01 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.4348684479 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 17:54 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |