DanielDayLewis
0xd90cc01d0ea0431ea926d30780677029ba2f60a9
- Realised P&L
- $-432.40
- Volume
- $81.8k
- Markets traded
- 255
- Open portfolio
- $2.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded255
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.003 | $2.39 | −$15.55 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.72 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will In Your Dreams win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
| BNB all time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$347.78at 0.019Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?
- +$88.89at 0.090Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?
- +$49.61at 0.287Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
- +$40.50at 0.080Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?
- +$37.62at 0.210Will Trump say "Jesus" during September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-19 10:29 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 10:29 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $9.44 |
| 04-18 04:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 12-30 11:26 | Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025? | SELL | 0.3871971197 | $25.81 |
| 11-30 06:31 | Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 7 straight weeks? | BUY | 0.0299102663 | $10.00 |
| 11-25 11:19 | Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025? | SELL | 0.038 | $0.51 |
| 11-23 02:57 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division? | SELL | 0.46 | $12.78 |
| 11-23 02:56 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another) be nominated for Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.075 | $2.09 |
| 11-17 12:18 | Will Orlando City SC win the 2025 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.014 | $9.98 |
| 11-14 03:26 | Will Sam Altman rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.12 |
| 11-09 10:53 | Will Kevin Stefanski be the next coach fired? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.02 |
| 11-06 00:22 | Will Predator Killer of Killers win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.07 |
| 11-06 00:21 | Will A Magnificent Life win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.18 |
| 11-06 00:21 | Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.08 |
| 11-05 01:30 | Will the Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act (H.R.5371) be signed into law by December 31 2025? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.52 |