0xd9063007765a994c56d0f1d184aba0f92b157f2b
0xd9063007765a994c56d0f1d184aba0f92b157f2b
- Realised P&L
- $-0.85
- Volume
- $101.65
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $5.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.370 | 1.000 | $2.70 | +$1.70 |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.775 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Uganda win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.485 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.034 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Down | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.39at 0.449Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$0.98at 0.522Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-28?
- +$0.33at 0.464BNB Up or Down - September 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$-0.07at 0.475Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$-0.11at 0.284Solana Up or Down - September 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 10:54 | Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 01:43 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0358469335 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:31 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:27 | Will Algeria win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 23:29 | Will Jamaica win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 23:20 | Will Uganda win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:42 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.71 |
| 09-28 18:54 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 16:48 | Solana Up or Down - September 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.28 | $1.08 |
| 09-25 16:48 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $1.04 |
| 09-25 16:39 | Solana Up or Down - September 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 16:23 | BNB Up or Down - September 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $1.51 |
| 09-25 16:15 | BNB Up or Down - September 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 16:12 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 16:04 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |