SrtaAuren
0xd9062ac6aa164c371affadf75d6dd629fa5aa578
- Realised P&L
- $-154.24
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $23.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.009 | $22.95 | −$27.05 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.002 | $0.38 | −$6.62 |
| Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.002 | $0.16 | −$14.16 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.75at 0.044Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$17.89at 0.007Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$0.82at 0.711Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-0.23at 0.500Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-9.04at 0.020Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 01:46 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.023 | $30.00 |
| 08-17 09:18 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0418027292 | $44.24 |
| 08-14 22:14 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.072 | $21.60 |
| 08-14 22:13 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 22:13 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0833521155 | $33.61 |
| 08-03 21:58 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0849150707 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 22:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0529999903 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 23:25 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 07-24 23:24 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.12 | $14.40 |
| 07-24 15:46 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.118 | $62.08 |
| 07-19 18:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.743 | $25.53 |
| 07-19 18:15 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.01 | $7.14 |
| 07-01 01:21 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0709999958 | $15.00 |
| 07-01 01:00 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.122 | $36.60 |
| 07-01 00:57 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1219999935 | $15.00 |