0xd9004eD65f7E49C74ec87B4B104437227ab3B3cD-1785487496576
0xd9004ed65f7e49c74ec87b4b104437227ab3b3cd
- Realised P&L
- $-6.93
- Volume
- $589.43
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $43.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.21at 0.827Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$0.12at 0.889Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$0.07at 0.937Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026?
- +$0.06at 0.947Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$0.04at 0.956Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 20:32 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 20:16 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5159998658 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:35 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:34 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:39 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.9099992538 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:29 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9369998763 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:23 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.95499947 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:18 | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.05 |
| 10-09 09:18 | Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.04 |
| 10-09 09:18 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.21 |
| 10-09 09:17 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.13 |
| 10-09 09:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 08:46 | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.9439999773 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 08:25 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 08:00 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.883999947 | $1.00 |