dhadad01
0xd8fac7b6e5741a1eff1140d25de21f3ded6d5580
- Realised P&L
- $13.2k
- Volume
- $323.5k
- Markets traded
- 184
- Open portfolio
- $19.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded184
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.1kat 0.394Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$3.0kat 0.252Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$1.6kat 0.441Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$1.4kat 0.630Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
- +$929.80at 0.580Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:55 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $147.00 |
| 11-01 19:52 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $98.00 |
| 11-01 19:51 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $46.50 |
| 11-01 19:50 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $75.00 |
| 11-01 19:49 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $78.00 |
| 11-01 19:37 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.3 | $39.05 |
| 11-01 19:37 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $135.00 |
| 11-01 19:36 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $122.50 |
| 11-01 19:36 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $108.50 |
| 11-01 18:59 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $84.00 |
| 11-01 17:35 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.75 | $99.75 |
| 11-01 17:11 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | BUY | 0.69 | $60.72 |
| 11-01 17:09 | Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.7346306472 | $494.66 |
| 11-01 14:51 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $13.50 |
| 11-01 14:46 | Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $940.00 |