dhadad01
0xd8fac7b6e5741a1eff1140d25de21f3ded6d5580
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $214.3k
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.252Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$1.4kat 0.630Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
- +$929.80at 0.580Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
- +$464.25at 0.676Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
- +$410.23at 0.360Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 04:18 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $23.99 |
| 09-06 04:18 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $13.61 |
| 09-06 04:18 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.034019641 | $6.63 |
| 08-27 09:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $4.03 |
| 08-27 09:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 08-24 20:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $11.94 |
| 08-24 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999973 | $25.00 |
| 08-24 20:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $27.12 |
| 08-24 20:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999953 | $25.00 |
| 08-24 20:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $32.85 |
| 08-24 20:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.349999993 | $25.00 |
| 08-24 09:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.9199999985 | $25.00 |
| 08-24 09:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 08-24 09:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 08-24 08:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |