PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dhadad01

0xd8fac7b6e5741a1eff1140d25de21f3ded6d5580

Realised P&L
$2.3k
Volume
$214.3k
Markets traded
149
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded149
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.4480.385$1.2k$195.45
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.5750.385$785.10$388.13
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2110.545$652.71+$399.65
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.1950.135$583.22$259.22
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3010.280$536.06$41.23
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.8010.840$457.53+$21.09
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8? · Down0.4200.000$0.00$3.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00$25.00
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.4000.000$0.00$20.00
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? · No0.5600.000$0.00$20.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? · Yes0.1480.000$0.00$2.1k
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00$5.00
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$16.40
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026? · No0.2700.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 04:18Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?SELL0.996$23.99
09-06 04:18Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.78$13.61
09-06 04:18Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.034019641$6.63
08-27 09:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETSELL0.25$4.03
08-27 09:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.3099999622$5.00
08-24 20:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETSELL0.32$11.94
08-24 20:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.6699999973$25.00
08-24 20:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETSELL0.64$27.12
08-24 20:00Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.5899999953$25.00
08-24 20:00Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETSELL0.46$32.85
08-24 20:00Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.349999993$25.00
08-24 09:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.9199999985$25.00
08-24 09:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.6899999917$5.00
08-24 09:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.92$5.00
08-24 08:55Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.29999997$5.00