PolyBot

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Traders

dhadad01

0xd8fac7b6e5741a1eff1140d25de21f3ded6d5580

Realised P&L
$13.2k
Volume
$323.5k
Markets traded
184
Open portfolio
$19.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded184
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2680.437$3.7k+$1.4k
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · Yes0.5800.590$2.9k+$47.46
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? · No0.9290.930$2.1k+$3.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4490.365$2.0k−$466.33
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · Yes0.7040.845$1.3k+$215.64
Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government? · No0.6640.695$1.3k+$55.91
Will Together be in the next Israeli government? · Yes0.3980.675$1.0k+$418.24
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2730.815$1.0k+$667.42
Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government? · No0.6630.655$495.82−$5.96
Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027? · No0.7490.715$444.42−$20.91
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? · Yes0.3670.435$384.95+$60.06
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027? · No0.6120.605$379.33−$4.40
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4900.475$356.25−$11.25
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? · No0.7800.740$276.27−$14.93
Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government? · No0.7310.775$266.17+$15.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:55Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.49$147.00
11-01 19:52Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.49$98.00
11-01 19:51Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.31$46.50
11-01 19:50Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3$75.00
11-01 19:49Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.26$78.00
11-01 19:37Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?SELL0.3$39.05
11-01 19:37Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3$135.00
11-01 19:36Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.49$122.50
11-01 19:36Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.31$108.50
11-01 18:59Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.28$84.00
11-01 17:35Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.75$99.75
11-01 17:11Will no listed leader be out before 2027?BUY0.69$60.72
11-01 17:09Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?SELL0.7346306472$494.66
11-01 14:51Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?BUY0.3$13.50
11-01 14:46Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?BUY0.94$940.00