0xd8ed3dbe599569d15283bd921fdc64fc09ec3242
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 686
- Open portfolio
- $1.62
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded686
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.26at 0.472Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 6?
- +$16.99at 0.352Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 8?
- +$13.99at 0.488Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 6?
- +$12.73at 0.661Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 6?
- +$12.42at 0.386Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 07:11 | Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0099600181 | $32.31 |
| 05-22 07:09 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.053 | $36.05 |
| 05-09 15:47 | LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.4 | $1.57 |
| 05-09 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 9? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.99 |
| 05-09 15:10 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0819999987 | $55.77 |
| 05-09 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 9? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 05-09 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10? | SELL | 0.2094725275 | $0.95 |
| 05-09 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 9? | SELL | 0.971 | $1.94 |
| 05-09 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 10? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 05-09 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 10? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.10 |
| 05-09 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 9? | SELL | 0.57 | $12.35 |
| 05-09 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 9? | SELL | 0.3798745353 | $16.35 |
| 05-09 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.72 |
| 05-09 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 9? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.13 |
| 05-09 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 9? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.97 |