PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd8ed3dbe599569d15283bd921fdc64fc09ec3242

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
686
Open portfolio
$1.62

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded686
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0100.001$1.62−$30.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00−$3.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Up0.6700.000$0.00−$4.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Up0.5980.000$0.00−$4.93
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 6? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$28.97
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Movistar KOI0.4000.000$0.00−$1.57
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7? · No0.2670.000$0.00−$4.46
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5? · No0.4330.000$0.00−$20.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Up0.6400.000$0.00−$8.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Down0.3800.000$0.00−$8.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Down0.9000.000$0.00−$4.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Up0.6600.000$0.00−$4.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Up0.8700.000$0.00−$4.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET · Down0.6200.000$0.00−$5.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Down0.7000.000$0.00−$4.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-22 07:11Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0099600181$32.31
05-22 07:09Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.053$36.05
05-09 15:47LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.4$1.57
05-09 15:15Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 9?SELL0.61$0.99
05-09 15:10Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0819999987$55.77
05-09 15:07Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 9?SELL0.01$0.20
05-09 15:07Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?SELL0.2094725275$0.95
05-09 15:06Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 9?SELL0.971$1.94
05-09 15:06Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 10?SELL0.44$2.20
05-09 15:06Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 10?SELL0.68$3.10
05-09 15:06Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 9?SELL0.57$12.35
05-09 15:06Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 9?SELL0.3798745353$16.35
05-09 14:56Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 9?SELL0.999$20.72
05-09 13:01Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 9?SELL0.9$1.13
05-09 11:29Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 9?BUY0.45$2.97