PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd8e5d96b54394c545d930fc31646e9eaf847b808

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$185.13

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? · Yes0.1740.191$158.07+$14.28
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? · Yes0.1530.155$27.06+$0.32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$124.30
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00−$1.8k
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$353.29
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00−$239.26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$6.1k
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$44.82
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13? · Yes0.8870.000$0.00−$528.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:50Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.4590037515$611.76
11-01 20:50Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.4616924786$434.35
11-01 20:49Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.4627894214$736.10
11-01 19:29Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.506$22.76
11-01 18:32Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5034556096$1.8k
11-01 18:31Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.48$657.52
10-27 20:04Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.29$636.29
10-27 20:00Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2512442037$5.5k
10-26 17:05Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.01$0.06
10-26 13:22Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?SELL0.19$46.74
10-26 13:21Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?BUY0.7818812749$3.0k
10-26 11:56Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 20-26?BUY0.73$58.40
10-26 11:28Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0035456069$353.37
10-25 22:05Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?SELL0.64$56.32
10-25 22:02Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.6448847926$1.4k