HKings
0xd8e4d149e4860908e319286783defecb0604ea77
- Realised P&L
- $-705.18
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $31.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.450 | $31.50 | +$3.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.394 | 0.002 | $0.07 | −$17.92 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.588 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$31.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.549 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$359.50at 0.127Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on February 26?
- +$39.27at 0.773Pelicans vs. Clippers
- +$35.82at 0.744Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves
- +$33.79at 0.480Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?
- +$32.83at 0.621Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.10 |
| 08-08 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.4 | $28.00 |
| 08-07 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.5633333333 | $8.45 |
| 08-07 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 08-07 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.36 |
| 08-07 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.23 |
| 08-07 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.77 | $23.10 |
| 08-07 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.83 | $12.45 |
| 08-07 02:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 08-07 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.56 | $18.48 |
| 08-06 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 08-06 05:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.89 |
| 08-05 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.66 |
| 08-05 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.39 | $4.14 |