PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HKings

0xd8e4d149e4860908e319286783defecb0604ea77

Realised P&L
$-891.99
Volume
$25.1k
Markets traded
184
Open portfolio
$20.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded184
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 03:01Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?SELL0.98$13.60
11-01 01:26Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2?BUY0.6169154008$10.00
10-31 04:39Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?BUY0.7199999942$10.00
10-31 03:18Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 31?SELL0.96$13.52
10-30 06:45Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 31?BUY0.7099999815$10.00
10-30 03:42Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30?BUY0.599999988$10.00
08-29 06:20Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?SELL0.13$3.25
08-29 04:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?BUY0.76$3.80
08-29 03:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?BUY0.61$9.15
08-11 04:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?BUY0.7$7.00
08-11 04:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?BUY0.6$12.00
08-11 04:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11?SELL0.2704935958$17.32
08-11 04:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?BUY0.55$22.04
08-11 04:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11?BUY0.4543209766$20.00
08-11 04:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?SELL0.46$28.46