HKings
0xd8e4d149e4860908e319286783defecb0604ea77
- Realised P&L
- $-891.99
- Volume
- $25.1k
- Markets traded
- 184
- Open portfolio
- $20.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded184
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.578 | 0.977 | $20.72 | +$8.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.394 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.91 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.549 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.76 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.588 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.18 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$359.50at 0.127Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on February 26?
- +$39.27at 0.773Pelicans vs. Clippers
- +$35.83at 0.744Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves
- +$32.94at 0.492Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?
- +$32.44at 0.625Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 03:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.98 | $13.60 |
| 11-01 01:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.6169154008 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 04:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 03:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.96 | $13.52 |
| 10-30 06:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 03:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.25 |
| 08-29 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 08-29 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.61 | $9.15 |
| 08-11 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 08-11 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 08-11 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11? | SELL | 0.2704935958 | $17.32 |
| 08-11 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.55 | $22.04 |
| 08-11 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.4543209766 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11? | SELL | 0.46 | $28.46 |