0xd8dd6d3483568acc14fee90d7a6f124ca8f2fde8
0xd8dd6d3483568acc14fee90d7a6f124ca8f2fde8
- Realised P&L
- $-4.12
- Volume
- $185.58
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $4.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.130 | $1.24 | −$1.05 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.720 | 0.815 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? · No | 0.590 | 0.275 | $1.07 | −$1.22 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 in September? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.495 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.80at 0.329Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.38at 0.410SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$3.38at 0.410Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$3.16at 0.420US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.69at 0.460Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 18:52 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 in September? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:17 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:15 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:33 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:11 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 23:11 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.5899999897 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 15:11 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999916 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 07:08 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 22:17 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 07:19 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.06 |
| 09-17 17:33 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599999942 | $2.29 |
| 09-17 07:10 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999358 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 22:57 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $173 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998995 | $1.53 |
| 09-16 13:29 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.7399999741 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 05:28 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.29 |