Ldvdolan
0xd8dd5c5574145f9779e6b71d898651a994379b5a
- Realised P&L
- $402.96
- Volume
- $51.5k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $605.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$293.23at 0.890Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$111.44at 0.628Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?
- +$98.08at 0.096Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
- +$89.94at 0.093Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
- +$86.47at 0.893Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 10:15 | Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 10-17 09:46 | Will Ruth Madeley be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4175 | $33.40 |
| 10-17 09:45 | Will Ruth Madeley be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 10-15 15:02 | Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.67 | $33.50 |
| 10-15 15:01 | Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 10-12 20:33 | Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 10-12 15:48 | Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.18 | $17.99 |
| 10-11 23:10 | Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.52 | $37.44 |
| 10-11 23:10 | Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.51 | $4.03 |
| 10-11 23:09 | Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 10-10 11:59 | Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 10-10 11:59 | Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m? | SELL | 0.697255 | $13.95 |
| 10-10 11:57 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m? | SELL | 0.96 | $20.16 |
| 10-09 23:42 | Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 10-09 20:51 | Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.49 | $24.50 |