cctowork
0xd8daac97f99eb92d2bbcc83866cf4496213e34da
- Realised P&L
- $-52.79
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $202.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.640 | $202.26 | −$97.74 |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · JD Gaming | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.93at 0.855Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$44.94at 0.672Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$15.82at 0.744Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
- +$14.82at 0.960Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$10.77at 0.650Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 11:36 | Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $300.00 |
| 08-10 10:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $77.27 |
| 08-10 10:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $18.50 |
| 08-10 10:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 10:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 08-10 10:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $5.83 |
| 08-10 10:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.739999997 | $30.00 |
| 08-10 10:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999981 | $30.00 |
| 08-10 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 08-10 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 08-10 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 08-10 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $15.00 |
| 08-10 10:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $2.22 |
| 08-10 10:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999919 | $15.00 |
| 08-10 10:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |