0xd8da8f33e151e9fb2d2ed02bc806c4fabe248dfc
0xd8da8f33e151e9fb2d2ed02bc806c4fabe248dfc
- Realised P&L
- $-27.92
- Volume
- $538.91
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $12.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.895 | $3.67 | +$1.17 |
| Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York? · Yes | 0.700 | 1.000 | $3.31 | +$0.99 |
| Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 2+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York? · No | 0.350 | 1.000 | $2.86 | +$1.86 |
| Will Trump say "Micron" during his Midterm Rally in New York? · Yes | 0.750 | 1.000 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.760 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.42at 0.229Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
- +$5.43at 0.298Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" during WHCA Dinner events?
- +$4.64at 0.350Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
- +$3.20at 0.359Will Trump say "Drone" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$3.20at 0.342Will Trump say "Benjamin" or "Franklin" during Tribute to America Rally?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 11:14 | Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" during WHCA Dinner events? | BUY | 0.2899999197 | $2.18 |
| 04-20 08:31 | Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 04-20 08:26 | Will Infosys (INFY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.54 |
| 04-17 10:17 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on April 17? | BUY | 0.3299999097 | $2.21 |
| 04-16 08:42 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999042 | $1.97 |
| 04-13 09:01 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3392838175 | $1.99 |
| 04-07 08:04 | Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 04-06 08:22 | Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026? | BUY | 0.6019999417 | $2.50 |
| 04-06 08:17 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999309 | $2.34 |
| 04-03 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 5? | BUY | 0.6899999098 | $1.93 |
| 04-03 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 5? | BUY | 0.5799997819 | $2.40 |
| 04-03 08:34 | Will Trump dance during White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6? | BUY | 0.4699998602 | $1.58 |
| 04-02 09:23 | Will Google (GOOGL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | BUY | 0.7879998247 | $2.50 |
| 04-02 09:19 | Will Google (GOOGL) close at $295-$300 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | BUY | 0.8459999519 | $2.50 |
| 04-02 09:12 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999967 | $2.50 |