PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

NihilisticMeerkat

0xd8cae792b3d84d6888080401423e973337287229

Realised P&L
$8.4k
Volume
$1.98M
Markets traded
259
Open portfolio
$8.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded259
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4730.445$6.6k$419.49
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4600.445$1.8k$60.00
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6370.130$246.07$959.03
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala · Jessica Pegula0.8100.805$80.50$0.50
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes0.9180.000$0.00$917.99
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes0.8800.000$0.00$352.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 19:43The Memphis Classic (Doubles): Hunter/Krawczyk vs Chong/HozumiBUY0.99$19.80
07-29 19:42Samsun (Doubles): Betov/Singh vs Kirci/KirkinBUY0.99$19.80
07-29 19:37Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.753$67.77
07-29 19:37Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.752$45.12
07-29 19:37Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.7329259259$197.89
07-29 19:21Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$14.9k
07-26 10:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.805$4.7k
07-26 10:18Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.805$7.1k
07-26 10:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.804$158.03
07-25 16:42Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian PrengaBUY0.09$117.00
07-19 21:18Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.705506725$705.51
07-19 21:17Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.715$715.00
07-18 20:01Exact Score: France 3 - 0 England?BUY0.05$15.00
07-18 20:00Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?BUY0.07$196.00
07-16 15:09Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?SELL0.031$0.46