0xd8ca1d504f42c183c93011e1c82a36772ff301e0
- Realised P&L
- $-149.72
- Volume
- $316.65
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $40.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-47.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes | 0.466 | 0.208 | $40.28 | −$49.72 |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-04 13:49 | Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.4658447178 | $90.00 |
| 04-04 13:46 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |