lobs439
0xd8c0d730f6cc244c5f34da87a8ea65ea0d19124f
- Realised P&L
- $-331.87
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $229.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.88at 0.710Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)
- +$9.00at 0.100Dogecoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
- +$8.96at 0.104Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?
- +$8.57at 0.700Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$8.13at 0.788Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 23:23 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.3 | $19.59 |
| 10-10 23:23 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.11 | $6.98 |
| 09-30 01:15 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4349999989 | $28.41 |
| 09-01 16:57 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $76.14 |
| 09-01 02:52 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $74.40 |
| 08-31 22:11 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 02:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5399999961 | $43.88 |
| 08-26 22:08 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.11 | $9.24 |
| 08-26 22:07 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6299999991 | $40.00 |
| 08-26 22:00 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.2699999973 | $48.84 |
| 08-26 21:52 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.468427696 | $49.11 |
| 08-24 00:03 | Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? | BUY | 0.7264335489 | $34.00 |
| 08-23 11:42 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6999999685 | $20.00 |
| 08-23 11:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4799999952 | $20.00 |
| 08-23 11:40 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.1276804916 | $6.65 |