DOS2258
0xd8c00e2f4ee24401ba7be06d36e52f5992bc8db7
- Realised P&L
- $5.90
- Volume
- $833.26
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $37.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.305 | $19.68 | −$0.32 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? · No | 0.660 | 0.705 | $7.05 | +$0.45 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.745 | $5.32 | +$0.32 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.675 | $5.27 | +$0.27 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Up | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Down | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 10? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Up | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.66at 0.074Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
- +$4.34at 0.701Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
- +$3.94at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
- +$3.27at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
- +$3.00at 0.700Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:19 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 20:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 18:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.98 |
| 09-11 16:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 16:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 13:03 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 09-10 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 17:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 14:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.61 |
| 09-09 09:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 08:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 09-08 12:49 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 12:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 12:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $3.00 |
| 09-08 08:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $3.00 |