traboukos
0xd8bcf0b7c03348686607d6e59abd74edff5967e2
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $417.3k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $18.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.505US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$2.4kat 0.822US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.685US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.581Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$960.00at 0.880US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:58 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.934 | $2.8k |
| 07-19 16:56 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.038 | $38.00 |
| 07-15 21:59 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.581 | $581.00 |
| 07-15 21:57 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.581 | $1.7k |
| 07-15 20:47 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6942725 | $694.27 |
| 07-15 20:46 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7085994488 | $241.69 |
| 07-14 20:26 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.8675 | $260.25 |
| 07-14 14:53 | Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Oleg Prihodko | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 07-10 20:36 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.46 | $276.00 |
| 07-09 15:45 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.827 | $17.81 |
| 07-07 20:47 | Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.41 | $259.55 |
| 07-02 09:19 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.026 | $260.00 |
| 06-30 13:51 | Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | BUY | 0.34 | $170.00 |
| 06-30 13:51 | Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $80.00 |
| 06-30 13:50 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $145.00 |