0xd8b3Bc6Eefe8AFBa840984929A92aC5fB239A278-1789209521448
0xd8b3bc6eefe8afba840984929a92ac5fb239a278
- Realised P&L
- $-0.98
- Volume
- $248.48
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $15.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.135 | $10.13 | +$4.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.350 | $2.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.220 | $2.75 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.89at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
- +$1.30at 0.701Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage
- +$1.04at 0.906Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$0.64at 0.887Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$0.52at 0.906Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:35 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 21:35 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 21:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 21:30 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 15:31 | Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage | BUY | 0.6899999425 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 13:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 12:59 | Solana Up or Down - September 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9572431354 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 12:49 | XRP Up or Down - September 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | SELL | 0.15 | $1.62 |
| 09-12 12:49 | XRP Up or Down - September 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.9250693802 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 12:45 | BNB Up or Down - September 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $10.31 |
| 09-12 12:44 | BNB Up or Down - September 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 12:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $10.41 |
| 09-12 12:34 | XRP Up or Down - September 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $5.33 |
| 09-12 12:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.949999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 12:34 | XRP Up or Down - September 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |