PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd8b3Bc6Eefe8AFBa840984929A92aC5fB239A278-1789209521448

0xd8b3bc6eefe8afba840984929a92ac5fb239a278

Realised P&L
$-0.98
Volume
$248.48
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$15.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? · Yes0.0800.135$10.13+$4.13
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 18? · Yes0.3700.350$2.84$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? · Yes0.2400.220$2.75$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 21:35Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17?BUY0.08$3.00
09-16 21:35Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17?BUY0.08$3.00
09-16 21:31Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18?BUY0.24$3.00
09-16 21:30Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 18?BUY0.3699999593$3.00
09-15 15:31Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group StageBUY0.6899999425$3.00
09-12 13:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.9$10.00
09-12 12:59Solana Up or Down - September 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.9572431354$10.00
09-12 12:49XRP Up or Down - September 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETSELL0.15$1.62
09-12 12:49XRP Up or Down - September 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.9250693802$10.00
09-12 12:45BNB Up or Down - September 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETSELL0.99$10.31
09-12 12:44BNB Up or Down - September 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.96$10.00
09-12 12:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETSELL0.99$10.41
09-12 12:34XRP Up or Down - September 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETSELL0.97$5.33
09-12 12:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.949999981$10.00
09-12 12:34XRP Up or Down - September 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.91$5.00