0xD887Da8C15E7bd07c89B3aE5185ba3d9de05d1AA-1790513047873
0xd887da8c15e7bd07c89b3ae5185ba3d9de05d1aa
- Realised P&L
- $-84.74
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 300
- Open portfolio
- $141.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded300
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nacional Asuncion win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.996 | $65.82 | +$0.36 |
| Will Ceará SC vs. EC Juventude end in a draw? · Yes | 0.990 | 1.000 | $49.98 | +$0.47 |
| Will Potenza Calcio win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.505 | $25.25 | −$24.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Down | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET · Down | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET · Up | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET · Down | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Up | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Up | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.10at 0.561Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
- +$15.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
- +$15.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$15.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$15.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET