bacs2000
0xd8867be278a60dd41589f114d8d8f4e509825b12
- Realised P&L
- $-120.04
- Volume
- $41.8k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$802.60at 0.728Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$550.62at 0.839Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?
- +$138.42at 0.612Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$123.42at 0.793Spread: Spain (-2.5)
- +$94.23at 0.802Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 13:57 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.8611672559 | $894.00 |
| 10-29 13:48 | Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.0720442276 | $29.09 |
| 10-29 11:39 | Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.956125869 | $420.00 |
| 10-29 09:49 | Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.94 | $200.00 |
| 10-29 07:53 | Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9154228054 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 07:52 | Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9199999953 | $55.00 |
| 10-29 06:55 | Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.865495378 | $80.00 |
| 10-29 02:20 | Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9201187225 | $23.00 |
| 10-28 22:01 | Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9149999987 | $17.00 |
| 10-28 21:47 | Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.6846576625 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 21:46 | Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 10-28 21:26 | Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9229999969 | $15.00 |
| 10-28 20:40 | Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9145165594 | $57.00 |
| 10-28 20:38 | Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.8987753061 | $40.00 |
| 10-28 20:37 | Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.8369999996 | $338.00 |