Myaullrich58
0xd88476219cfac173bb2f08cad0dae31077f00cf6
- Realised P&L
- $-4.73
- Volume
- $384.89
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $6.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.978 | 0.988 | $2.43 | +$0.02 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.995 | 0.998 | $2.35 | +$0.01 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20? · No | 0.967 | 0.988 | $1.81 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.05at 0.983Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$0.02at 0.991Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 September 7-13?
- +$0.01at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4?
- +$0.00at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4?
- +$-2.57at 0.009Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 24-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:06 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.34 |
| 09-16 23:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9779999927 | $2.41 |
| 09-16 23:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9669999831 | $1.77 |
| 09-09 04:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.12 |
| 09-09 04:40 | Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.0359999999 | $2.48 |
| 09-03 14:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.66 |
| 09-03 14:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.63 |
| 09-03 14:47 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9819999945 | $2.86 |
| 08-29 16:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.40 |