0xD87C35eE7eE3dd118cC386c08123AFe7a49Dbd1f-1782387181989
0xd87c35ee7ee3dd118cc386c08123afe7a49dbd1f
- Realised P&L
- $-10.44
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $110.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.76at 0.081Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?
- +$33.06at 0.339Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$24.42at 0.186Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?
- +$12.98at 0.351Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?
- +$6.24at 0.480Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 08:00 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $5.72 |
| 11-01 05:37 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $5.68 |
| 11-01 05:37 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.94 |
| 10-30 05:00 | Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 10-28 17:00 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $5.76 |
| 10-28 10:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.67 |
| 10-28 10:00 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.67 |
| 10-28 09:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.67 |
| 10-28 09:00 | Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.94 |
| 10-28 08:00 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.61 | $5.49 |
| 10-28 08:00 | Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.46 |
| 10-28 07:00 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $5.85 |
| 10-28 07:00 | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.94 |
| 10-27 05:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 10-27 04:42 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $5.49 |