observoor
0xd87b30b540b54871da82bace197801006be2db63
- Realised P&L
- $-431.63
- Volume
- $350.8k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $15.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.287Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?
- +$3.7kat 0.049Ethereum above $2,700 on June 10?
- +$3.2kat 0.219Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 6?
- +$2.1kat 0.060Bitcoin above $122000 on August 13?
- +$1.0kat 0.771Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 14:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.035 | $25.55 |
| 09-01 18:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.1799999998 | $500.00 |
| 09-01 18:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.18 | $225.00 |
| 09-01 18:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.1799999996 | $400.00 |
| 08-31 18:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.3k |
| 08-20 02:59 | Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.009973173 | $5.39 |
| 08-20 02:58 | Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.13 |
| 08-12 02:41 | Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0595355578 | $55.15 |
| 08-12 02:26 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? | BUY | 0.3413768799 | $200.00 |
| 08-12 02:24 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? | BUY | 0.31 | $7.41 |
| 07-29 18:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.5k |
| 07-29 13:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7623378766 | $3.5k |
| 05-12 11:38 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12? | BUY | 0.0388076498 | $41.59 |
| 05-12 11:37 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.3 | $605.65 |
| 05-07 11:20 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1902396075 | $384.06 |