PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

observoor

0xd87b30b540b54871da82bace197801006be2db63

Realised P&L
$-431.63
Volume
$350.8k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$15.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0330.008$15.76$49.66
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 5? · No0.0600.000$0.00$150.00
XRP above $3.50 on August 15? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$525.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 3? · No0.0070.000$0.00$47.35
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $5000 on August 24 at 4PM ET? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$98.75
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$610.88
Will the price of Solana be greater than $160 on June 20? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$238.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3730.000$0.00$992.31
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$375.00
Will Ethereum reach $5200 August 18–24? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$55.00
Bears vs. Packers · Bears0.2870.000$0.00$474.55
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin before July? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$768.66
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3000 on July 15 at 5PM ET? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$100.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00$1.4k
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$219.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 14:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2?BUY0.035$25.55
09-01 18:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2?BUY0.1799999998$500.00
09-01 18:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2?BUY0.18$225.00
09-01 18:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 2?BUY0.1799999996$400.00
08-31 18:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.56$1.3k
08-20 02:59Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?BUY0.009973173$5.39
08-20 02:58Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?BUY0.007$0.13
08-12 02:41Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0595355578$55.15
08-12 02:26Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?BUY0.3413768799$200.00
08-12 02:24Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?BUY0.31$7.41
07-29 18:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$4.5k
07-29 13:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7623378766$3.5k
05-12 11:38S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?BUY0.0388076498$41.59
05-12 11:37Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.3$605.65
05-07 11:20Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.1902396075$384.06