PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Micmac

0xd874bdb5da42479df9a09ab3b208b4dddd47c8ed

Realised P&L
$-128.50
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$12.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.1300.042$12.92$27.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Down0.5180.000$0.00$3.00
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET · Down0.0370.000$0.00$2.00
Will Trump say "Fuck" this week? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$5.00
Israel military action against Iran in July? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET · Up0.5480.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET · Up0.4980.000$0.00$3.00
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Down0.3910.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET · Up0.4790.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Down0.1900.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 16:57Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?BUY0.1299999975$40.00
07-27 23:27Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETBUY0.1899999569$3.00
07-27 23:25Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETSELL0.99$18.42
07-27 23:22Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETBUY0.6099999756$5.00
07-27 23:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETBUY0.4799999808$5.00
07-27 23:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
07-27 23:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-27 23:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.08$1.00
07-27 23:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.16$1.00
07-27 23:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.1428571429$3.00
07-27 23:10Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETSELL0.99$19.49
07-27 23:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.2399999184$2.00
07-27 23:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.4399999648$5.00
07-27 12:46Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.08$5.00
07-27 12:35Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.3299999591$5.00