Micmac
0xd874bdb5da42479df9a09ab3b208b4dddd47c8ed
- Realised P&L
- $-128.50
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $12.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.200Will Trump say "Coal" during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?
- +$17.03at 0.370Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?
- +$12.39at 0.371Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$9.29at 0.350Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$8.10at 0.554Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 16:57 | Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.1299999975 | $40.00 |
| 07-27 23:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999569 | $3.00 |
| 07-27 23:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $18.42 |
| 07-27 23:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 23:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 23:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 23:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 23:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 23:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 23:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1428571429 | $3.00 |
| 07-27 23:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $19.49 |
| 07-27 23:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 23:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 12:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 12:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |