0xd871d34d92f9fb337b8cd4a2ad8bace9ff28625f
- Realised P&L
- $-3.66
- Volume
- $326.93
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $11.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.66at 0.135Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?
- +$2.64at 0.286Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$1.97at 0.349Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
- +$1.00at 0.755Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$0.87at 0.548Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 10:08 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 10:07 | Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Mika Brunold | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 10:00 | Augsburg (Doubles): Beckley/Caripi vs Bittner/Thurner | BUY | 0.87 | $0.35 |
| 08-21 15:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 15:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 15:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 15:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 15:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 15:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 15:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 15:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 15:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 15:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 20:15 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.063896 | $1.60 |
| 08-11 19:09 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.579 | $2.00 |