PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd871d34d92f9fb337b8cd4a2ad8bace9ff28625f

Realised P&L
$-3.66
Volume
$326.93
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$11.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · Yes0.2801.000$3.57+$2.57
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6600.745$1.13+$0.13
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9100.955$1.05+$0.05
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · No0.9640.983$1.02+$0.02
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7870.793$1.01+$0.01
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? · Yes0.0530.050$0.94$0.06
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.550$0.81$0.19
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0330.025$0.75$0.25
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0280.021$0.73$0.27
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2220.066$0.59$1.41
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3630.000$0.00$11.00
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 10:08Kraken IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.66$1.00
08-26 10:07Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Mika BrunoldBUY0.8199999836$1.00
08-26 10:00Augsburg (Doubles): Beckley/Caripi vs Bittner/ThurnerBUY0.87$0.35
08-21 15:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.3299997822$1.00
08-21 15:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.4699998778$1.00
08-21 15:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.5299998781$1.00
08-21 15:32Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.2699998542$1.00
08-21 15:32Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-21 15:18Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.98$1.00
08-21 15:18Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.089999919$1.00
08-21 15:17Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.77$1.00
08-21 15:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.5699998233$1.00
08-21 15:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.5699998233$1.00
08-11 20:15China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.063896$1.60
08-11 19:09Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.579$2.00