gwei12333
0xd870d5532af588481d9b4ce23c31a43cdb4285a2
- Realised P&L
- $-71.73
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.009 | $1.61 | −$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.71at 0.769Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$5.16at 0.885Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.00at 0.720Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
- +$-1.05at 0.002Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$-16.44at 0.340Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $39.60 |
| 09-16 02:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $18.00 |
| 09-16 02:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $7.70 |
| 08-21 12:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.73 | $109.50 |
| 07-29 18:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $129.12 |
| 07-28 13:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7599999815 | $23.00 |
| 07-28 13:25 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 13:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.76 | $75.23 |