Swagonymous
0xd8691fa7cc1f20716833968156fc96d2a32594cd
- Realised P&L
- $0.70
- Volume
- $254.95
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $13.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? · Yes | 0.277 | 0.364 | $13.17 | +$3.16 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.23at 0.520US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$6.67at 0.600Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
- +$4.95at 0.670Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$-0.96at 0.025Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?
- +$-10.00at 0.160Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 22:49 | Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | BUY | 0.2769999932 | $10.01 |
| 04-12 18:13 | Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.01 |
| 04-02 16:55 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.67 | $10.05 |
| 04-02 16:55 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.01 |
| 04-02 16:54 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.79 |
| 03-01 02:00 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 02-01 17:57 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 01-29 05:39 | Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 01-10 01:07 | Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31? | BUY | 0.0246449889 | $1.00 |
| 01-10 01:06 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |