franki77
0xd8647fc0784911a416f73550a3834ff75e799e12
- Realised P&L
- $-13.28
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $197.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)11.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.795 | $197.96 | −$31.13 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? · No | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.48at 0.880Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$0.00at 0.870Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.890Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.910Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
- +$-0.00at 0.900Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 09:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | SELL | 0.997 | $5.0k |
| 06-11 09:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.0k |
| 05-29 08:17 | Netanyahu out by May 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $290.13 |
| 05-28 06:03 | Netanyahu out by May 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $290.42 |
| 05-26 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 27? | SELL | 0.9507402023 | $105.28 |
| 05-26 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 27? | BUY | 0.9842595477 | $109.00 |
| 05-11 03:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.58 |
| 04-28 09:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | SELL | 0.91 | $198.38 |