Ontilt00
0xd859dd505134a6be8d80e45aa9dbe8fe468638c5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $372.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,039
- Open portfolio
- $17.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,039
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$482.12at 0.072Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 9?
- +$445.72at 0.070Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 9?
- +$345.24at 0.083Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?
- +$316.80at 0.120Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
- +$310.00at 0.080Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 08:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.101 | $6.06 |
| 09-19 08:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.60 |
| 09-19 08:12 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 09-18 23:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 20? | BUY | 0.021 | $1.89 |
| 09-18 23:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 20? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.80 |
| 09-18 14:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23? | SELL | 0.321 | $32.10 |
| 09-18 14:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 14:07 | Will Solana reach $110 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.74 | $4.44 |
| 09-18 14:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.0541538462 | $7.04 |
| 09-18 13:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 19? | SELL | 0.187 | $8.04 |
| 09-18 13:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.408 | $40.80 |
| 09-18 13:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | SELL | 0.372104712 | $35.54 |
| 09-18 13:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | SELL | 0.349 | $3.14 |
| 09-18 12:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | SELL | 0.09 | $14.85 |
| 09-18 11:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 19? | BUY | 0.056 | $1.66 |