Ontilt00
0xd859dd505134a6be8d80e45aa9dbe8fe468638c5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $343.5k
- Markets traded
- 907
- Open portfolio
- $59.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded907
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$482.12at 0.073Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 9?
- +$445.72at 0.070Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 9?
- +$345.24at 0.083Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?
- +$316.80at 0.120Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
- +$309.99at 0.080Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 5? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.90 |
| 08-04 12:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.85 |
| 08-04 12:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 12:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.087 | $4.35 |
| 08-04 12:38 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.82 |
| 08-04 12:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.07 | $14.00 |
| 08-04 12:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.121 | $12.10 |
| 08-04 12:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.80 |
| 08-04 12:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.12 |
| 07-29 14:56 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0754181933 | $19.18 |
| 07-29 12:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 07-29 00:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.13 | $21.66 |
| 07-29 00:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 00:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.051 | $1.24 |
| 07-28 23:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.08 | $29.86 |