0xd859a9d51DCf9c25E3CFa0C2A024E244f1BAC7C2-1768888305467
0xd859a9d51dcf9c25e3cfa0c2a024e244f1bac7c2
- Realised P&L
- $385.90
- Volume
- $1.10M
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $615.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$744.14at 0.790Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$455.61at 0.170Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$206.80at 0.004Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$155.57at 0.248Heat vs. Hornets
- +$151.56at 0.021Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 11:16 | Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-22? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.52 |
| 07-12 01:12 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.008 | $7.14 |
| 07-05 15:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $950.00 |
| 07-05 15:36 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.071 | $213.00 |
| 07-04 17:00 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.027 | $67.50 |
| 07-03 21:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.195 | $333.71 |
| 07-01 16:07 | Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 15:57 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.095 | $142.50 |
| 06-30 03:55 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.038 | $24.55 |
| 06-30 02:40 | Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.05 | $27.22 |
| 06-30 02:34 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.714694 | $71.47 |
| 06-30 02:33 | Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.0505511261 | $27.52 |
| 06-29 18:40 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | SELL | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 06-27 04:03 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.13 | $151.38 |
| 06-27 04:03 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.13 | $147.62 |