0xD851755bcFD687396aB1094C7135a14bF96CE3d2-1779566843875
0xd851755bcfd687396ab1094c7135a14bf96ce3d2
- Realised P&L
- $35.78
- Volume
- $784.17
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $3.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.378 | 0.068 | $3.60 | −$16.40 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.48at 0.332Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$4.44at 0.181Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 22:47 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0895189239 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 22:24 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.2658178439 | $15.02 |
| 10-26 22:14 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1769999973 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 16:19 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.602 | $31.51 |
| 10-23 07:26 | Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.3776041613 | $20.00 |
| 10-22 18:12 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.765 | $9.39 |
| 08-30 23:32 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.644 | $3.13 |
| 08-10 18:40 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.576 | $21.55 |
| 07-20 11:11 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.38 | $6.07 |
| 06-19 16:39 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3255117285 | $40.00 |
| 06-19 16:38 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.3073474416 | $48.65 |
| 05-23 20:16 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2526826975 | $40.00 |