PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd8514b628363e6420313d1d1a45c0705048964d7

Realised P&L
$-117.08
Volume
$30.6k
Markets traded
359
Open portfolio
$340.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded359
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:48Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.2699999681$5.00
08-03 02:41Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?BUY0.6489999752$5.00
08-03 02:13Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?BUY0.86$10.00
08-03 02:12Will anyone say "Queen" 10+ times during House of the Dragon E7 S3?SELL0.999$147.42
08-03 01:34Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?BUY0.8699999995$48.42
08-03 01:26Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?BUY0.7899999968$20.00
08-03 01:11Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?BUY0.9299999997$70.00
08-02 21:38Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?SELL0.0781613058$1.63
08-02 19:21Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2?BUY0.6452189209$10.00
08-02 16:39Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 2?SELL0.0215403574$0.70
08-02 15:57Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?BUY0.4899999804$5.00
08-02 15:43Will "Mexico" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026?BUY0.9399999997$117.26
08-02 01:38Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.8199999672$10.00
08-02 00:53Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.094$8.24
08-02 00:52Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?SELL0.955$22.76