0xd8514b628363e6420313d1d1a45c0705048964d7
- Realised P&L
- $-117.08
- Volume
- $30.6k
- Markets traded
- 359
- Open portfolio
- $340.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded359
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.40at 0.570Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
- +$55.16at 0.606Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$38.75at 0.720Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5
- +$33.40at 0.097Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$31.65at 0.139Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:48 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:41 | Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m? | BUY | 0.6489999752 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:13 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.86 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 02:12 | Will anyone say "Queen" 10+ times during House of the Dragon E7 S3? | SELL | 0.999 | $147.42 |
| 08-03 01:34 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.8699999995 | $48.42 |
| 08-03 01:26 | Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 01:11 | Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $70.00 |
| 08-02 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.0781613058 | $1.63 |
| 08-02 19:21 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.6452189209 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 16:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.0215403574 | $0.70 |
| 08-02 15:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 15:43 | Will "Mexico" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999997 | $117.26 |
| 08-02 01:38 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.8199999672 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 00:53 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.094 | $8.24 |
| 08-02 00:52 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? | SELL | 0.955 | $22.76 |