0xd8514b628363e6420313d1d1a45c0705048964d7
- Realised P&L
- $-62.67
- Volume
- $63.3k
- Markets traded
- 802
- Open portfolio
- $12.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded802
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.97at 0.024Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
- +$57.11at 0.583Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
- +$51.96at 0.619Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$42.11at 0.684Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?
- +$41.91at 0.907Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30–$2.40 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:04 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.8392153336 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 14:29 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0892858913 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 14:28 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1028037375 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 04:07 | Will Melania say "Donald" or "Trump" during her NC remarks? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 04:07 | Will Melania say "Husband" during her NC remarks? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 04:07 | Will Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during her NC remarks? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 18:58 | Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | BUY | 0.9387485492 | $112.00 |
| 09-14 15:43 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.0809935196 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 14:58 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $23.81 |
| 09-14 14:45 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.377999997 | $15.00 |
| 09-14 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.4113130503 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.2959163485 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on September 14? | BUY | 0.9272598636 | $25.00 |