PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd8514b628363e6420313d1d1a45c0705048964d7

Realised P&L
$-62.67
Volume
$63.3k
Markets traded
802
Open portfolio
$12.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded802
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 14:04Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?BUY0.8392153336$100.00
09-15 14:29Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?BUY0.0892858913$5.00
09-15 14:28Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.1028037375$5.00
09-15 04:07Will Melania say "Donald" or "Trump" during her NC remarks?BUY0.119999999$5.00
09-15 04:07Will Melania say "Husband" during her NC remarks?BUY0.3699999867$5.00
09-15 04:07Will Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during her NC remarks?BUY0.75$10.00
09-14 18:58Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?BUY0.9387485492$112.00
09-14 15:43Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 14?BUY0.0599999988$2.00
09-14 15:04Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 14?BUY0.5$5.00
09-14 15:04Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 14?BUY0.0809935196$5.00
09-14 14:58Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?SELL0.6$23.81
09-14 14:45Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.377999997$15.00
09-14 03:45Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 14?BUY0.4113130503$5.00
09-14 03:45Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 14?BUY0.2959163485$5.00
09-14 03:44Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on September 14?BUY0.9272598636$25.00